Altcoin season delayed 2025 — this is the conclusion drawn from recent market data as Bitcoin continues to dominate. With an altcoin season index of just 28, far below the typical 75 required to mark the start of an altcoin rally, the market clearly favors BTC.
Bitcoin’s current market dominance sits at 61.7%, reflecting strong capital concentration around the top cryptocurrency. Once again, Bitcoin is outperforming most altcoins, delaying any broad rotation into alternative assets.
Altcoin Season Delayed 2025: Index Remains Weak
The altcoin season index tracks when 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform Bitcoin over a 90-day period. Right now, only a small portion do, meaning that altcoin season is postponed once again in 2025.
BTC’s outperformance is supported by short- and long-term metrics. According to on-chain data, the MVRV ratio for short-term holders is now at 1.09, suggesting more room for upside. Meanwhile, long-term holders are locking in profits, as the LTH SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) hit 2.27 on May 13 — indicating 227% average profit on coins being sold.
This pattern often signals a potential pullback, as seasoned investors begin to take profits after strong price appreciation.
Bitcoin Still Leads, Altcoins Show Mixed Signals
While Bitcoin appears stable and dominant, altcoins are sending mixed technical signals. The Total3 chart — which tracks crypto market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH — shows hesitation.
After bouncing from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (~$892B), Total3 faced rejection near the 0.786 correction (~$923B). The market failed to break above the previous high at $962B, which remains a critical resistance level for altcoins.
Technical indicators are not entirely bearish, though. The RSI sits at 63, which is bullish but not overheated. The MACD remains in a positive crossover, suggesting continued upside — but only if the market gains strength above $962 billion.
Until then, the altcoin breakout remains on hold.
What It Means for Crypto Traders in 2025
With altcoin season delayed 2025, traders should be cautious about overexposure to small-cap tokens. Bitcoin continues to lead in both dominance and relative strength.
Unless altcoin capitalization breaks new highs and BTC dominance starts to fall, most gains will likely remain with Bitcoin in the short term.
This market structure rewards patience — and favors strategic allocation over hype-driven entries.
Conclusion: Altcoin Season Delayed 2025, Bitcoin Still Rules
The altcoin season delayed 2025 trend underscores the continued dominance of Bitcoin. While technicals for altcoins are not entirely bearish, they lack confirmation of a true breakout.
Unless the market capitalization of altcoins (Total3) surpasses key resistance levels, capital will likely continue to concentrate around BTC.
Until then, altcoin season remains postponed.
